4/29/15: Scattered Rain and Mild

Minimum temperatures this morning ranged from around freezing to the middle 40s.  Dry soils in combination with our continued upper level wind flow from the west or northwest bringing in dry air masses (low surface relative humidity) to the region, will continue to make for some higher diurnal changes in the temperature each day.

April 29 minimums
April 29, 2015 Minimums

Although well below average temperatures are not foreseen in the next 10 days, there will still be frost concerns on many mornings.   Temperatures are expected to continue to range from 5° to 10° above average through the first full week of May.  Precipitation events will occur every few days, but each event in the short term will likely bring scattered and light precipitation to the area.

The next threat appears to be Thursday Night into Friday morning.

1:00 AM Friday, May 1 projected precipitation
1:00 AM Friday, May 1 projected precipitation

With another threat Saturday Night into Sunday.

1 AM Sunday, May 3, 2015 Projected precipitation
1 AM Sunday, May 3, 2015 Projected precipitation

Both of these events will bring scattered (not everyone) rainfall and amounts in the locations that do record some precipitation will be for the most part under 0.25 inches it appears.  It appears that a subtle shift in the upper level flow will commence once we get into May that hopefully will bring two better threats of rain around May 8 through the 10th time frame and again toward the middle of the month (May 14-18).    Those look to be the time frames that some more beneficial rains may occur in the northern plains, but certainly in the short term,  mild and dry will be the rule.

Daryl Ritchison