La Nina Fading

The La Nina that is currently in the Pacific Ocean has been fading slowly away in the past couple of months.  In turn, there is plenty of talk that it will change rapidly into an El Nino for the winter of 2021 and 2022.  For somewhat unknown reasons, this time of year the computer guidance for the equatorial pacific tends to perform very poorly.  Conjecture on what will happen next winter at this point is very premature.  I would estimate sometime in June we may have a better idea of where we will be moving oceanic through the rest of the year. That data may also give a hint to the length of the current dry period as well.

Daryl Ritchison