Winter Forecasts

As is typical of this time of year, there are often many predictions for the upcoming winter.  It also seems that more times than not the predictions are that this winter will be the harshest in years, or the Farmer’s Almanac said this or that.   In this short segment I don’t have time to go into my personal take on the next few months, but the short version is to me the obvious.  The past two winters the temperature have been 5 to 8 degrees above average and although there are exceptions, most of us have had less snow the past two winters than we average in a single winter.  This means that even if this winter finishes near average for temperatures and snowfall, the winter will have the perception of a harsh one because the past two have been so pleasant.